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D_jaja	4 hours ago
3p live up

D_jaja	8 hours ago
3p live up

snufkin_1301	10 hours ago
1 more live 6 pl

omriex7	10 hours ago
1 more for 6p live everyone!

omriex7	10 hours ago
6p live 5/6

omriex7	10 hours ago
6p live 4/6

snufkin_1301	10 hours ago
just +2

snufkin_1301	11 hours ago
+4 6 pl live game

Marco Martell	15 hours ago
last spot in the World Cup to take, anyone? PM me

travis23	16 hours ago
3pfast, welcome

LordArryn	16 hours ago
3/4

lilbills	16 hours ago
2/3 pro

gb730320	25 hours ago
有3p嗎?

D_jaja	26 hours ago
2/3

Shrooms	27 hours ago
live ranked anyone?

D_jaja	29 hours ago
3p live up

Ayak	31 hours ago
3/4 live

Ayak	33 hours ago
can a mot create a 4p live with south closed pls ?

sydneygas	36 hours ago
one more 3p up before bedtime!

sydneygas	38 hours ago
3p live is up

Hail to JM Grip!

Community Forum

Forums > General > Meanwhile, some statistics...

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Lannie85
^{Protector Of The Realm}

Posts: 6,063
Games: 871
Rank Points: 6,222
Member since: 2014-Feb-25

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2017-Jun-02 11:08

Thanks! I like these stats

Sorry if I didn't respond to your message(s), thats not intentional!

King of l.o.i.a.f. season 2 division 1
King of I.o.i.a.f. season 5 division 1

ArchDemon
^{King's Councillor}

Posts: 121
Games: 309
Rank Points: 2,658
Member since: 2015-Dec-25

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2017-Jun-02 18:08

May I ask how the "Highest winning probability" was calculated? I am sure I should be on that list. Perhaps I haven't played enough games this month?

obmit
^{Warden Of The North}

Posts: 282
Games: 319
Rank Points: 2,376
Member since: 2015-Jan-25

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2017-Jun-02 18:24

if we are going to introduce a medal system at some point, we could include medals based on these monthly stats. i will try and think of some names if i find the time

JM Grip
^{The 8th God}

Posts: 5,236
Games: 92
Rank Points: 686
Member since: 2007-Sep-28

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2017-Jun-02 18:55

May I ask how the "Highest winning probability" was calculated? I am sure I should be on that list. Perhaps I haven't played enough games this month?
won+((2.241*2.241)/2))/(games+(2.241*2.241)) - 2.241 * SQRT((won+((2.241*2.241)/2)) / (games+(2.241*2.241))*(1-(won+((2.241*2.241)/2)) / (games+(2.241*2.241)))/(games+(2.241*2.241))

You are not in the top 100.
This stats takes only game data from last month. that might be the reason. Also it's not about win ratio alone.

If we only took the rate between games and wins the table would be boring. 1:1 -> 100%

- What do we say to New Features? Not Today.

ArchDemon
^{King's Councillor}

Posts: 121
Games: 309
Rank Points: 2,658
Member since: 2015-Dec-25

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2017-Jun-02 22:54

So it's not win-lose ratio, it's number of games won.
Makes sense

JM Grip
^{The 8th God}

Posts: 5,236
Games: 92
Rank Points: 686
Member since: 2007-Sep-28

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2017-Jun-04 20:41

This site will update automatically every month:
https://www.thronemaster.net/?goto=statistics&sub=monthly_best_of

- What do we say to New Features? Not Today.

Iron_Price
^{Warden Of The North}

Posts: 91
Games: 315
Rank Points: 2,051
Member since: 2015-Oct-30

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2017-Jun-05 00:05

Very cool feature!
I just happened to notice that PBEM and Live Speedster got mixed up. I found 40s per move in the top 10 Live Speedster questionable.

On a sidenote: What does "Agresti" stand for?

"May he feast as he fought, in the Drowned God’s watery halls."

JM Grip
^{The 8th God}

Posts: 5,236
Games: 92
Rank Points: 686
Member since: 2007-Sep-28

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2017-Jun-05 09:46

I will take a look and our "Speedsters" again, but I think it is correct, because one table is based on seconds, the other one on minutes (PBEM). Also the value is generated as overall average and does not exclude best/worst times like for your personal speed index.

On a sidenote: What does "Agresti" stand for?
I chose the Agresti-Coull method to calculate the players with highest probability to win again. It is not based on win rate alone, because this would push all players with very few games and lucky ones with only one game and one win. Also the value is not to be read like a win probability rate. I cannot say myself what the value means exactly ^^

https://pellucid.atlassian.net/wiki/display/PEL/Agresti-Coull+Interval+Method

- What do we say to New Features? Not Today.

JM Grip
^{The 8th God}

Posts: 5,236
Games: 92
Rank Points: 686
Member since: 2007-Sep-28

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2017-Jun-06 18:10

@Iron_Price
You are right, I mixed LIVE/PBEM up. Will fix it asap. Thank you!

- What do we say to New Features? Not Today.

JM Grip
^{The 8th God}

Posts: 5,236
Games: 92
Rank Points: 686
Member since: 2007-Sep-28

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2018-Sep-13 23:11

Game Abortion rate (~120k games):



~21% Aborted LIVE

~37% Aborted PBEM - games switched to PBEM not excluded!

~58% Aborted BEGINNER

~37% Aborted UNRATED

~18% Aborted RATED

_____________________

~28% Aborted IN TOTAL

Game Abortion rate 2018 (~14k games):



~18% Aborted LIVE

~27% Aborted PBEM - games switched to PBEM not excluded!

~45% Aborted BEGINNER

~31% Aborted UNRATED

~15% Aborted RATED

_____________________

~22% Aborted IN TOTAL

I recomment LIVE, rated games

The currently running games (~1k) were also excluded in this calculation.

- What do we say to New Features? Not Today.

JM Grip
^{The 8th God}

Posts: 5,236
Games: 92
Rank Points: 686
Member since: 2007-Sep-28

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2018-Sep-13 23:23

compare from 2016 - 2 years old:
I took the last 35k games (~1 year) and checked the abort rate. Ongoing games are not included.

Here are our current stats:

aborted games

-------------

beginner : 61.6%

unrated  : 31.7%

rated    : 16.3%

- What do we say to New Features? Not Today.

Lannie85
^{Protector Of The Realm}

Posts: 6,063
Games: 871
Rank Points: 6,222
Member since: 2014-Feb-25

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2018-Sep-13 23:27

Got the idea beginners are created (automatically and by MoT's) less, is that true?

Sorry if I didn't respond to your message(s), thats not intentional!

King of l.o.i.a.f. season 2 division 1
King of I.o.i.a.f. season 5 division 1

JM Grip
^{The 8th God}

Posts: 5,236
Games: 92
Rank Points: 686
Member since: 2007-Sep-28

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2018-Sep-13 23:31

I would say the number of beginner games is slighty increasing in comparison with the number of active players, else quite steady.

- What do we say to New Features? Not Today.

Nomaris
^{Maester without a chain}

Posts: 2,460
Games: 389
Rank Points: 2,611
Member since: 2017-May-19

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2018-Sep-13 23:33

Thank you, that is very enlighting data.
For me the values are quiet surprising since I have an abort rate of 12% with pbem only.
The trend looks promising.

“The only way to treat disease is to understand disease.“

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