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branthebuilder
Master Blacksmith

Posts: 29
Games: 169
Rank Points: 214
Member since: 2015-May-11

Topic: Who wins when?
Posted: 2015-Nov-25 20:49
Many of us check statistics of each house and their win ratios under specific conditions, but I haven't seen anything that tells us which house wins in what round.  We know Stark is a late round victory and Greyjoy is a quick surge to a win early on.

I would like to know the percentages of wins per house per round.  For instance: What percentage of wins in round 5 go to Martell?

Similarly I would like to know things like: What percentage of Baratheon's wins happen in round 8?

Any thoughts on how we can figure this out?

Respectfully submitted.
TheWarden
Knight

Posts: 558
Games: 123
Rank Points: 647
Member since: 2014-Jul-03

Topic: Who wins when?
Posted: 2015-Nov-25 21:45
I am currently querying JM on matters such as these. I think you're asking the first question (what percentage of wins in round x goes to house x) in a manner, through which you won't really get a useful answer, though.

The second question is interesting, however.


branthebuilder
Master Blacksmith

Posts: 29
Games: 169
Rank Points: 214
Member since: 2015-May-11

Topic: Who wins when?
Posted: 2015-Nov-25 21:49
Yes.  The more I think about it the more useful the second scenario becomes.  It would be interesting to know when each house hits "critical mass".  For example, it would play into knowing just when to break an alliance for fear of my ally growing too powerful and stealing the game.

Not that I ever break alliances
JM Grip
The 8th God

Posts: 5,236
Games: 92
Rank Points: 686
Member since: 2007-Sep-28

Topic: Who wins when?
Posted: 2015-Nov-26 10:18
For 6 player games, different game options not considered.

turns   winner_house   wins
10   S   794
10   G   599
10   L   377
10   M   377
10   T   359
10   B   347
turns   winner_house   wins
9   S   243
9   G   205
9   B   164
9   M   155
9   T   135
9   L   108
turns   winner_house   wins
8   S   339
8   G   263
8   B   238
8   M   202
8   T   185
8   L   151
turns   winner_house   wins
7   S   368
7   B   350
7   G   326
7   M   202
7   T   196
7   L   160
turns   winner_house   wins
6   S   406
6   B   387
6   G   339
6   T   191
6   L   174
6   M   174
turns   winner_house   wins
5   G   286
5   B   284
5   S   260
5   L   126
5   T   105
5   M   101
turns   winner_house   wins
4   G   161
4   S   121
4   B   99
4   M   42
4   L   35
4   T   29
turns   winner_house   wins
3   G   40
3   S   32
3   B   12
3   L   10
3   M   6
3   T   4
turns   winner_house   wins
2   S   7
2   G   2
2   T   1

stats like that?


Ser Gerold Hightower
One Of The Kingsguard

Posts: 19
Games: 165
Rank Points: 924
Member since: 2015-Feb-10

Topic: Who wins when?
Posted: 2015-Nov-26 12:20
Them turn 2 victories tho
Can you post the link to the tyrell 2nd turn victory if possible ?
Lannie85
Protector Of The Realm

Posts: 6,063
Games: 871
Rank Points: 6,222
Member since: 2014-Feb-25

Topic: Who wins when?
Posted: 2015-Nov-26 13:09
Wow, sure wonder how Tyrell managed to win in round 2. Preceding mustering, another muster and 2 times loras but how is that possible in 2 turns to reload your deck.


JM Grip
The 8th God

Posts: 5,236
Games: 92
Rank Points: 686
Member since: 2007-Sep-28

Topic: Who wins when?
Posted: 2015-Nov-26 13:41
Tyrell wins in round 2:
https://game.thronemaster.net/?game=2653&review=1

Aware this is with ACoK Expansion rules. Player wins with 6 castles.


Lannie85
Protector Of The Realm

Posts: 6,063
Games: 871
Rank Points: 6,222
Member since: 2014-Feb-25

Topic: Who wins when?
Posted: 2015-Nov-26 14:19
Ah, offcourse. Nice job


Ser Gerold Hightower
One Of The Kingsguard

Posts: 19
Games: 165
Rank Points: 924
Member since: 2015-Feb-10

Topic: Who wins when?
Posted: 2015-Nov-26 16:19
Wow, sure wonder how Tyrell managed to win in round 2. Preceding mustering, another muster and 2 times loras but how is that possible in 2 turns to reload your deck.
You can reload it (ot at least reload loras) with wildlings
P.S. about the tyrell game i didn't count the mustered ship in the east
dsjensen19
Pawn

Posts: 1
Games: 0
Rank Points: 0
Member since: 2024-Nov-15

Topic: Who wins when?
Posted: 2024-Nov-19 17:39
I made this simple chart from the data above to aid people who want a visual: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1CE84eMJT9pUC2BN63TiwwmjE7No9yXn17cG4ewpokj0/edit?usp=sharing
Nomaris
Maester without a chain

Posts: 2,611
Games: 410
Rank Points: 2,739
Member since: 2017-May-19

Topic: Who wins when?
Posted: 2024-Nov-21 22:18
Nice!

Relative win rates might be interesting too.

Also, please note that these data are about 10 years old and mostly about 1st edition games.



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