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holtaf	1 h 14 min ago
Is the game server down ?

holtaf	2 h 57 min ago
3 more and go!

holtaf	2 h 57 min ago
Still 3/6

omriex7	3 hours ago
6p live 3\6

holtaf	5 hours ago
created 3p live

holtaf	5 hours ago
Any warmongers ?

RakanGari	8 hours ago
why not

holtaf	10 hours ago
2/3

Nicky	17 hours ago
Anyone 3p live?

CKyou2	20 hours ago
3p live up.. with active host

Les sept couronnes	28 hours ago
5/6 game

holtaf	28 hours ago
3p live

Koringhus	30 hours ago
Still one more

Prufrock	30 hours ago
one more live

Koringhus	30 hours ago
one more

Koringhus	30 hours ago
3 more to 6 live

Koringhus	31 hours ago
Could anyone make live 6p? I would like to join

Daredevil Z	32 hours ago
3p fast+++

laosiji	32 hours ago
live

eilon53	36 hours ago
2/3 live

I'm honored to serve you, my Lord!

Community Forum

Forums > General > Meanwhile, some statistics...

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Author

Message

Lannie85
^{Protector Of The Realm}

Posts: 6,063
Games: 871
Rank Points: 6,222
Member since: 2014-Feb-25

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2017-Jun-02 11:08

Thanks! I like these stats

Sorry if I didn't respond to your message(s), thats not intentional!

King of l.o.i.a.f. season 2 division 1
King of I.o.i.a.f. season 5 division 1

ArchDemon
^{King's Councillor}

Posts: 121
Games: 309
Rank Points: 2,658
Member since: 2015-Dec-25

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2017-Jun-02 18:08

May I ask how the "Highest winning probability" was calculated? I am sure I should be on that list. Perhaps I haven't played enough games this month?

obmit
^{Warden Of The North}

Posts: 282
Games: 319
Rank Points: 2,376
Member since: 2015-Jan-25

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2017-Jun-02 18:24

if we are going to introduce a medal system at some point, we could include medals based on these monthly stats. i will try and think of some names if i find the time

JM Grip
^{The 8th God}

Posts: 5,236
Games: 92
Rank Points: 686
Member since: 2007-Sep-28

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2017-Jun-02 18:55

May I ask how the "Highest winning probability" was calculated? I am sure I should be on that list. Perhaps I haven't played enough games this month?
won+((2.241*2.241)/2))/(games+(2.241*2.241)) - 2.241 * SQRT((won+((2.241*2.241)/2)) / (games+(2.241*2.241))*(1-(won+((2.241*2.241)/2)) / (games+(2.241*2.241)))/(games+(2.241*2.241))

You are not in the top 100.
This stats takes only game data from last month. that might be the reason. Also it's not about win ratio alone.

If we only took the rate between games and wins the table would be boring. 1:1 -> 100%

- What do we say to New Features? Not Today.

ArchDemon
^{King's Councillor}

Posts: 121
Games: 309
Rank Points: 2,658
Member since: 2015-Dec-25

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2017-Jun-02 22:54

So it's not win-lose ratio, it's number of games won.
Makes sense

JM Grip
^{The 8th God}

Posts: 5,236
Games: 92
Rank Points: 686
Member since: 2007-Sep-28

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2017-Jun-04 20:41

This site will update automatically every month:
https://www.thronemaster.net/?goto=statistics&sub=monthly_best_of

- What do we say to New Features? Not Today.

Iron_Price
^{Warden Of The North}

Posts: 91
Games: 315
Rank Points: 2,051
Member since: 2015-Oct-30

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2017-Jun-05 00:05

Very cool feature!
I just happened to notice that PBEM and Live Speedster got mixed up. I found 40s per move in the top 10 Live Speedster questionable.

On a sidenote: What does "Agresti" stand for?

"May he feast as he fought, in the Drowned God’s watery halls."

JM Grip
^{The 8th God}

Posts: 5,236
Games: 92
Rank Points: 686
Member since: 2007-Sep-28

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2017-Jun-05 09:46

I will take a look and our "Speedsters" again, but I think it is correct, because one table is based on seconds, the other one on minutes (PBEM). Also the value is generated as overall average and does not exclude best/worst times like for your personal speed index.

On a sidenote: What does "Agresti" stand for?
I chose the Agresti-Coull method to calculate the players with highest probability to win again. It is not based on win rate alone, because this would push all players with very few games and lucky ones with only one game and one win. Also the value is not to be read like a win probability rate. I cannot say myself what the value means exactly ^^

https://pellucid.atlassian.net/wiki/display/PEL/Agresti-Coull+Interval+Method

- What do we say to New Features? Not Today.

JM Grip
^{The 8th God}

Posts: 5,236
Games: 92
Rank Points: 686
Member since: 2007-Sep-28

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2017-Jun-06 18:10

@Iron_Price
You are right, I mixed LIVE/PBEM up. Will fix it asap. Thank you!

- What do we say to New Features? Not Today.

JM Grip
^{The 8th God}

Posts: 5,236
Games: 92
Rank Points: 686
Member since: 2007-Sep-28

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2018-Sep-13 23:11

Game Abortion rate (~120k games):



~21% Aborted LIVE

~37% Aborted PBEM - games switched to PBEM not excluded!

~58% Aborted BEGINNER

~37% Aborted UNRATED

~18% Aborted RATED

_____________________

~28% Aborted IN TOTAL

Game Abortion rate 2018 (~14k games):



~18% Aborted LIVE

~27% Aborted PBEM - games switched to PBEM not excluded!

~45% Aborted BEGINNER

~31% Aborted UNRATED

~15% Aborted RATED

_____________________

~22% Aborted IN TOTAL

I recomment LIVE, rated games

The currently running games (~1k) were also excluded in this calculation.

- What do we say to New Features? Not Today.

JM Grip
^{The 8th God}

Posts: 5,236
Games: 92
Rank Points: 686
Member since: 2007-Sep-28

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2018-Sep-13 23:23

compare from 2016 - 2 years old:
I took the last 35k games (~1 year) and checked the abort rate. Ongoing games are not included.

Here are our current stats:

aborted games

-------------

beginner : 61.6%

unrated  : 31.7%

rated    : 16.3%

- What do we say to New Features? Not Today.

Lannie85
^{Protector Of The Realm}

Posts: 6,063
Games: 871
Rank Points: 6,222
Member since: 2014-Feb-25

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2018-Sep-13 23:27

Got the idea beginners are created (automatically and by MoT's) less, is that true?

Sorry if I didn't respond to your message(s), thats not intentional!

King of l.o.i.a.f. season 2 division 1
King of I.o.i.a.f. season 5 division 1

JM Grip
^{The 8th God}

Posts: 5,236
Games: 92
Rank Points: 686
Member since: 2007-Sep-28

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2018-Sep-13 23:31

I would say the number of beginner games is slighty increasing in comparison with the number of active players, else quite steady.

- What do we say to New Features? Not Today.

Nomaris
^{Maester without a chain}

Posts: 2,463
Games: 389
Rank Points: 2,591
Member since: 2017-May-19

Topic: Meanwhile, some statistics...
Posted: 2018-Sep-13 23:33

Thank you, that is very enlighting data.
For me the values are quiet surprising since I have an abort rate of 12% with pbem only.
The trend looks promising.

“The only way to treat disease is to understand disease.“

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